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Is General Electric’s slipping credit rating a warning to all bond investors?
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Witnessing a former great fall from grace is never pleasant viewing. When it is an ex-bond market darling, and you are watching its credit rating fall away from top-notch AAA to the opposite end of the investment-grade scale, it makes very painful viewing for bondholders. This has been the fate of General Electric (GE), the largest company by market capitalisation earlier this century, and its bondholders in 2018.
Brexit vote: kicking the can down the road
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Julian Chillingworth and Ed Smith
Rathbones’ Smith: Reduced risk of a ‘no deal’
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
The Brexit saga has taken a predictable turn, though the rout that Prime Minister Theresa May suffered in Tuesday’s Parliamentary vote on her Brexit deal was historical in its magnitude.
Losing control
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Today Theresa May has to present her alternative Brexit plan to Parliament. Facing a hostile House of Commons, the Prime Minister says she won’t do so. Instead, she will reiterate that she is continuing to negotiate with the EU in a bid to unpick the Gordian knot of the Irish backstop. In a chilling echo through time, while Mrs May was trying to shore up support among English Brexiteers a bomb blast shook Londonderry. An IRA splinter group took responsibility. According to one version of history, Alexander the Great untied the impossible knot by cutting it.
A Gordian knot
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Markets took a dive in December, but we think panicked investors may have got ahead of themselves. Chief investment officer Julian Chillingworth explains why things are relatively ok for global growth, but perhaps not so much for the UK
Great timing
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
US nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations once again, posting 304,000 new jobs in January instead of the 165,000 forecast. Last month’s number was revised down from exceptionally high to very high. The ISM manufacturing survey rose to 56.6, higher than expected, showing that US producers are busy and confident. Consumer sentiment was soggier, however, dropping to the weakest level of Donald Trump’s presidency. It was likely dragged down by the record 35-day government shutdown, yet it held up significantly better than economists had expected.
Year in Review Masterclass | December 2018
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
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The next recession
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
It’s that time in the ebb and flow of global commerce that investors cast around for the next big threat to the economy, the unforeseen wave that will upend everything.
Chart of the week: Are your defensives safe?
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Traditional defensives have kept pace with economically sensitive sectors through the long and fitful post-crisis recovery. Some ‘defensives’ are decidedly expensive, and investors may need to broaden their search for safe havens.
Chart of the week: A more dovish Fed
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
Markets have stabilised after the ‘Santa slump’ experienced into the year end, helped by comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials suggesting they are moving towards more dovish market expectations.
Investment Update Q1 2019
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
From greed to fear – where next?
Green Christmas
Last Updated: September 30, 2025
As far as the environment is concerned, Christmas is the least wonderful time of the year, as the highest heights of consumption are scaled through miles of wrapping paper, mountains of turkey, and rivers of petrol. But fear not! There are ways to keep Scrooge from darkening your door while making your Christmas more environmentally friendly too.