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Investment Insights summary: February 2026

10 February 2026

Our monthly look at what’s driving global markets


Rathbones Investment Management
  1. Home
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  3. Investment Insights summary: February 2026

Article last updated 10 February 2026.

Our February edition features three stories — read online versions via the links below or download a PDF with all three articles. 

 

In this edition:

  • We've developed a framework for measuring market overexuberance over AI.
  • Mining companies with copper and uranium mines will benefit from the rapid expansion of data centres and the infrastructure needed for the global energy transition.
  • Global bonds and equities got off to a good start to 2026, despite geopolitical worries, including the arrest of the President of Venezuela, a US threat to the sovereignty of a Nato ally and the formation of an American armada heading for the Persian Gulf.
Tiered mine

5 mins

13 February 2026

Mining for returns

Mining may seem unglamorous, but it has a crucial role to play in the future of both energy and technology, with potential rewards for long-term investors.

Mining for returns
People drinking champagne

6 mins

9 February 2026

When to leave the AI party

We don't yet see an end to the AI boom - but we’ve created a robust system to check for signs of a major, imminent deterioration in AI sentiment.

When to leave the AI party
Download these articles in a single PDF file

Snapshot

The global economy and markets

Figure of the month

$80-90

The cost per barrel of producing Venezuela’s untapped oil. Most of it is heavy crude, which is more expensive to extract and sells at a discount to Brent crude. With Brent priced at around $64, production costs are already higher than the likely selling price. Combined with political constraints, this makes a significant increase in Venezuelan oil output unlikely, despite interest from the US.

At a glance

3.7%

US annual wage growth in the fourth quarter of 2025

1.3%

UK annual GDP growth in the three months to November 2025

1.7%

Eurozone inflation in January 2026

44%

Rise in copper price during 2025

Key market indicators

Equities 

Total return in local currencies (1 Feb 2021 = 100)
 

Government bonds

Difference between 2 and 10–year yields
 

Equities

Total return in local currencies (1 Feb 2021 = 100)
 

Commodities

Oil, gold and silver prices 
 

Download Investment Insights as a PDF

Access more investment insights

Alongside this monthly Investment Insights publication, our large and experienced in-house research team share a wide range of updates and analysis, from regular strategy commentary and video briefings to in-depth reports, all designed to help you understand what’s driving the global economy, financial markets and the outlook for investment returns.

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